With an eleven state winning streak, Obama exudes confidence heading into Tuesday’s primaries that will determine whether he is selected as the clear winner of the Democratic nomination or signify the continuation of the battle between he and Senator Clinton. While Hillary Clinton originally had large leads in both states, the national interest in the race and Obama’s momentum has diminished her advantage and polls conducted in Texas show Obama with a 47% to 43% lead. Popular with Hispanic voters, Clinton seems to have lost some ground of women to Obama. On the other hand in Ohio, the most recent polls demonstrate a 1% lead by Hillary with 47% and 46%.
The intensity of the Democratic race is reflected in the ads that have come out in Texas with one clearly favoring Clinton and a response by the Obama campaign within hours. Once again attacking his inexperience and asserting that Obama would be incapable of making difficult decisions, and the Obama campaign claimed it was using a tactic to play up the constituent’s fears . He cleverly countered, “the question is, what kind of judgment will you exercise when you pick up that phone? In fact, we have had a red phone moment. It was the decision to invade Iraq. Senator Clinton gave the wrong answer.” As part of Clinton’s last attempts to thwart Obama’s getting the Democratic Nomination is to attack his conspicuous absence on the Senate’s controversial vote over “Iran and missing in action as chairman of a subcommittee responsible for NATO policy in Afghanistan.” Although voters "think that Mrs. Clinton is a stronger leader and would be a stronger commander in chief…[they would] prefer Mr. Obama as president.” On a roll, Obama currently has 1369 delegates to Clinton’s 1267 and has spent this crucial week campaigning in Texas. He gave a speech in San Marcos, Texas and addressed one of the most recent criticism about his very liberal voting record and how it will be difficult to initiate bipartisanship by commenting “I don't see people at my rallies looking through rose-coloured glasses, we know how hard it will be.”
During Tuesday’s debate, Obama claimed he might use opting out as a bargaining technique “to reopen trade talks" with Mexico and Canada about NAFTA. Following this comment, a rumor asserted that the “senator’s campaign privately assured the Canadian government the candidate was not serious in his criticisms of NAFTA.” The Obama campaign claimed to have no ties to the rumor and that is probably true because it would be a little early to assuage the Canadian’ government’s fears of changing NAFTA—even if he is most likely going to be the next President—because I doubt that our northern neighbor will serve as one of the key constituents in the upcoming general election. If Obama can pull out two big wins this week, he will clench the Democratic Nomination making history as both an underdog and the first African American ever nominated by a major party to be the President of the United States.
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Unless Hillary pulls out huge wins in both states this weekend, which we can see is not very likely, i think its become easier to say that Obama will be the nominee, especially with Clintons superdelegates slowly changing sides. If Obama wins either state Tuesday he is going to get the nomination.
Even though Hillary is technically leading by 1% in Texas, I think it is highly unlikely that he will actually lose either state. So far, this election has demonstrated that momentum trumps politics, image and any other quality deemed necessary to win an election. If this precedent continues, Obama will indubitably win both elections. However, this election has also proven to be one of the most unpredictable of the 21st centuries, so it is understandable why both candidates are on edge.
I'm sure this Tuesday is highly anticipated by Obama. He knows that if he can win both states, or at the very least win one, he will pretty much have the nomination all but locked up. I'm sure he wants this badly, especially cause then he could get started on campaigning for the presidency. He knows as of now he has the advantage on McCain, so if he can just get by Clinton, things will be looking good for Obama.
Today is the Day; 'Critical Tuesday', as CNN put it. Obama and Clinton have been fighting head to head in Texas in Ohio, but an Obama win might just settle discrepancy among Democratic constituents in preparation for the general election. If Obama wins only one of the two, and Hilary chooses to remain in the race, then we will have an all out fight to the super-delegates, which could potentially be detrimental to the Democratic General election campaign. Therefore, Obama's success, even if he wins only one state today, should resonate through the Democratic Community. Hillary should put pride aside, and the Democrats should welcome Obama as our presidential nominee. (I'm slightly biased by the way.)
After some suprising results in Ohio and Texas it will be interesting to see how Mr. Obama reacts. Hillary seems to be that fly that Obama cannot just swat away. Neither candidate can statistically win the nomination, but the closer the two candidates get the more room there is for super delagates to prize a winner. Besides dividing a party and angering many Democrats, the whole situation is running out like a dramatic TV series on ABC.
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