With Super Duper Tuesday just a few days away, Senator Obama has been trying to squeeze in all the appearances he can this week, especially appealing to the states like Idaho, Minnesota, and Kansas where he has a good chance to collect delegate votes. In the first Democratic Debate with just he and Senator Clinton, the two seemed to have reconciled since the South Carolina debacle; preferring to boost both of their images, and that of the Democratic party—something that will be beneficial to the nominee in the general election—by attacking the incumbent Republicans. Obama visited Idaho, because despite the red state reputation, the current Illinois senator has a good chance of winning the states’ delegates for the Democratic National Convention. In addition to an assortment of endorsements from entertainment icons to reputable political families, now Ethel Kennedy, the widow of Bobby Kennedy, has endorsed Obama because he “is so like Bobby, who struggled for the rights of the poor in the Mississippi Delta and Appalachia, travelled to California to stand in solidarity with Cesar Chavez and farm workers, and fought to end another war that cost so many lives.” Senator Obama also held a well-attended rally in Minnesota and opened his speech in Kansas with, “We're among friends here. We're family." The introductory statements alluded to his familial connections to the state since his mother was born in El Dorado, Kansas. The Kansas events were so successful that people have begun to speculate if Obama wins the Democratic Nomination, the party might be able to turn an unwavering Republican state since 1968. Moreover, the recently released from the 4th quarter demonstrate that Hillary Clinton collected more money from the top Wall Street executives than either Romney or Obama. While Clinton accumulated $388,391 from donors, Obama trailed in third with $ 251,860. According to the New York Times, Obama commissioned commercials in 21 out of the22 states holding primaries this coming Tuesday and through these geography-specific ads attempted to “tailor his message to the concerns of the voters.”
Furthermore, the most recent poll conducted in California, a largely democratic state with the most delegates at stake, showed Obama two percent behind Clinton’s 36%, but that number does not the likely statistical error of 4-5%. With such close numbers in major states like California, this Tuesday's set of primaries will have a large impact on who is selected to represent the Democratic party in this year's general election.
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Obama seems to be on better footing than Hillary in on the eve of Super Tuesday. In his optimum scenario, he would rout her like in South Carolina, but almost as good would be if he performed in the election as he is currently performing in the polls-- not winning but trailing by a very close margin. If he lost to Hillary only by a few percentage points on Super Tuesday, he still might have a shot at being the Democratic nominee.
I think Edwards' withdrawl is going to be very beneficial for Obama's campaign, because many of the people who supported Edwards' populist-type message, might swing their votes over to Obama. Furthermore, even though Hilary is slightly ahead of Hillary in the polls, there seems to be a lot more energy surrounding Obama's campaign, and as silly as it seems, it could make a big difference on election day (especially with the college students).
it's definitely going to be a super tuesday to watch with how close the two candidates are and how much Obama has upset this nomination. to have it so close that even super tuesday may not even tell us who will get the nomination is pretty amazing i think.
Wow, sounds like tomorrow is going to be extremely exciting. I got a call today from Obama representatives, as i'm sure they are doing every last little thing possible to try and boost their chances. I cannot wait to get home tomorrow and see the results. Sounds like Obama might be in a better situation at this point than Clinton. The endorsement from Ethel Kennedy is huge, and could have a great impact. I also think that Edwards pledging his support for Obama this past week could be monumental as well. With Obama just a little behind Clinton for California heading into tomorrow, it should be quite a race.
I don't think Obama will come out ontop on Super Teusday. Come Wednesday morning, I envison the headlines proclaiming a Clinton win in most of the major states. However, since none of the Democratic primaries will be winenr take all, Obama will surely pick up enough delegates that there will be no incentive for him to drop out. I think it's likely that the Demoratic race will continue into March.
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